Power
Power Crisis that Will not go AwayM A Pai
In the media we generally hear about how generating capacity has increased, how consumption has increased etc but not whether the power sector is able to meet the PEAK demand. Thus with a generating capacity of 150GW (1GW=1000MW) and estimated peak demand of 103GW, we can serve a peak load of only 93GW. In most countries, which are economically developed, a peak demand of close to 80% of generation capacity is met with a high degree of reliability. Even if we reach a figure of 70% we can meet the peak demand. This requires a high degree of coordination between supply of fuel, its transportation and the usage. Thus it is akin to a supply chain management model in the IT sector mere Increase in energy consum-ption in terms of MWh while useful is not a true indicator and does not fully explain why we have the power cuts across the country. There in lies the essentials of the power crisis that India faces.
This is based on past performance about which data is available fro m te ministry of power’s web sites. Except for on going projects in Tamil Nadu, new projects in nuclear power will not be realty till 2020. With power being largely a state monopoly and progress being slow it is difficult to catch up. Time has come to privatise the power sector in generation, transmission and distribution. Such a decision will be as bold as the economic liberalisation that took place nearly 20 years ago and time to act is now. Dr M A Pai is Professor Emeritus at University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign USA and was on the Faculty of IIT Kanpur 1963-81 |







